Buy or sell NVDA? Here’s what I’m doing (unusual) (from Tim Sykes)

Google and Meta are about to shake up the AI market.
Nvidia just felt it.
Meta's in serious talks to rent Google's AI chips starting in 2026, then buy them outright by 2027. We're talking billions of dollars changing hands.
The market reacted fast. $NVDA ( ▼ 4.17% ) dropped 4% when the news broke.
$GOOGL ( ▲ 1.43% ) went up. That tells you everything about who wins and who's suddenly got competition.
Why This Matters
Think about your smartphone for a second. Remember when there was only one real option? Then competitors showed up and prices started making more sense.
That's what's happening in AI chips right now.
Nvidia's been the only game in town. If you wanted to build serious AI systems, you bought their chips. Period.
‘We are the only platform in the world capable of running all AI models… We run OpenAI, we run Anthropic, we run xAI, we run Gemini.'
They've had roughly 90% of the market locked down. But that kind of dominance never lasts forever.
Meta's spending $70-72 billion on AI infrastructure this year. That's not a typo. When you're writing checks that big, you want options. Meta wants leverage.

Exactly, they don't want one supplier calling all the shots.
Google's AI Chips
Google's TPUs aren't new.
Google's $GOOGL has been using them internally for years. Search results? TPUs. YouTube recommendations? TPUs. Gmail's smart features? You guessed it.
But they've never really sold them to outside companies before. That's changing.
The specific chips Meta's eyeing are called Ironwood TPUs. They're designed for something called "inferencing"—basically, running AI models after they're built. Not quite as flashy as training the next ChatGPT, but it's where most AI actually gets used day-to-day.
They apparently work well enough that Meta's willing to bet billions on them.
What This Means
Alphabet’s shares rallied to hit a $4 trillion market cap. Competition's good for investors.
When Nvidia was the only option, they could price however they wanted. Demand was crazy, supply was tight, and their profit margins showed it.
Now Meta and other big players may use Google chips, which could help establish TPUs as an alternative to Nvidia’s chips.
Google's already made deals with other AI companies like Anthropic. They're building a customer base. Each deal proves their chips can handle real workloads, not just internal Google stuff.
Companies hesitate to switch hardware. It's expensive and risky. But once someone like Meta makes the jump? Others start paying attention.
What’s Next
This deal isn't done yet. We're at the "advanced talks" stage.
That means lawyers, contracts, testing, negotiations.
Even if it goes through, Meta's still buying plenty of Nvidia chips. This isn't winner-take-all. Meta's diversifying, not ditching Nvidia entirely.
But the trend's clear. The AI chip market's opening up.
Intel's working on AI chips. AMD's pushing theirs. Amazon's building custom chips for AWS.
The list keeps growing.
The Technical Story Behind the Deal

Here's what the headlines won't tell you: hyperscalers are scrambling to reduce supply chain risk, and this Meta-Google deal is proof.
Nvidia's building at least 10 gigawatts of AI data centers for OpenAI, and Anthropic's committed to 1 gigawatt of Nvidia's systems. That's not just computing power. It's massive energy consumption that requires entirely new infrastructure.
When Jensen Huang says power, heat dissipation, and liquid cooling are significant challenges, he's not exaggerating.
But there's another problem. Nvidia's heading toward more than $500 billion in orders through 2026. When one supplier has that much business locked up, smart companies look for alternatives. It’s not because Nvidia's chips aren't good, but because depending on one source is risky.
Google's Ironwood TPUs offer something different. They deliver 4.6 petaFLOPS of performance, matching Nvidia's B200, but with roughly twice the energy efficiency.
For companies spending $70+ billion on AI infrastructure like Meta, that efficiency translates directly to lower operating costs.
The real difference shows up at scale.
Google's TPU pods can connect up to 8,960 chips in a single system without the expensive switches Nvidia requires. That's why hyperscalers are paying attention.
It's not just about chip performance, it's about total system cost.
What You Should Watch

Stock prices are one thing. The real story plays out over quarters, not hours.
Watch Meta's earnings calls. Listen for mentions of chip suppliers and infrastructure costs.
Watch Google Cloud's revenue growth. That's where TPU rental income shows up. And watch Nvidia's pricing power. Can they keep charging premium prices, or do they need to compete harder?
Also pay attention to smaller chipmakers and manufacturers.
Companies like Broadcom $AVGO ( ▼ 0.67% ) supply parts for custom AI chips. Taiwan's chip fabricators benefit when demand spreads beyond just Nvidia's orders.
The Bottom Line
This Google-Meta deal represents a shift. Not a revolution, just a shift.
Nvidia's not going anywhere. They've got years of technical lead, proven chips, and an ecosystem of software tools that work with their hardware. But they're no longer the only option that matters.
For investors, that means reassessing.
Nvidia might still grow, but the path just got more complicated.
Google's opening new revenue streams. Meta's reducing supply risk.
And the real winner? Probably companies that can adapt as this market evolves. Because in tech, nothing stays the same for long.
The AI boom isn't slowing down.
But the way companies build AI infrastructure is changing faster than most people realize.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.
P.S.
Remember when we covered Amentum last week? $AMTM ( ▼ 1.19% ) just jumped 40% in five days.
We spotted the opportunity early. Shared it with you first.
Now analysts raised their price target to $35.
This is why timing matters.
Follow our updates to catch the next move before the crowd does. Don't get left behind.



